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Mar 20 2008

Global Warming: Is it still Global Warming when it isn’t getting warmer?

Published by Karl at 1:13 am under Global Warming

They have a great setup designed to measure the increases in ocean temperature.

The only problem is that the temperature is down since 2003.  Via Hot Air:

Evidence that global warming isn’t happening? Not necessarily, although it certainly hasn’t been happening over the past year. Evidence that the predictive modeling in this area isn’t nearly as nuanced as it needs be? Pretty much, yeah.

Some 3,000 scientific robots that are plying the ocean have sent home a puzzling message. These diving instruments suggest that the oceans have not warmed up at all over the past four or five years. That could mean global warming has taken a breather. Or it could mean scientists aren’t quite understanding what their robots are telling them.

This is puzzling in part because here on the surface of the Earth, the years since 2003 have been some of the hottest on record. But Josh Willis at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory says the oceans are what really matter when it comes to global warming

In recent years, heat has actually been flowing out of the ocean and into the air. This is a feature of the weather phenomenon known as El Nino. So it is indeed possible the air has warmed but the ocean has not. But it’s also possible that something more mysterious is going on.

That becomes clear when you consider what’s happening to global sea level. Sea level rises when the oceans get warm because warmer water expands. This accounts for about half of global sea level rise. So with the oceans not warming, you would expect to see less sea level rise. Instead, sea level has risen about half an inch in the past four years. That’s a lot…

It’s … possible that some of the heat has gone even deeper into the ocean, he says. Or it’s possible that scientists need to correct for some other feature of the planet they don’t know about. It’s an exciting time, though, with all this new data about global sea temperature, sea level and other features of climate.

So many possibilities. Here’s another: What if the heat escaping into the air from the oceans results in the dreaded runaway greenhouse effect? Actually, that’s not one to worry about. Turns out the predictive modeling there was all wrong, too.

More from Palousitics

“I’m sorry Al, I can’t do that.” I’m predicting an oceanwalk by the Goracle to shut down H.A.L. The robots MUST be malfunctioning if they don’t show the global warming that a “CONSENSUS” of scientists say is happening.

According to National Public Radio:

In fact, 80 percent to 90 percent of global warming involves heating up ocean waters. They hold much more heat than the atmosphere can. So Willis has been studying the ocean with a fleet of robotic instruments called the Argo system. The buoys can dive 3,000 feet down and measure ocean temperature. Since the system was fully deployed in 2003, it has recorded no warming of the global oceans.

“There has been a very slight cooling, but not anything really significant,” Willis says. So the buildup of heat on Earth may be on a brief hiatus. “Global warming doesn’t mean every year will be warmer than the last. And it may be that we are in a period of less rapid warming.”

HELLLLOOOOO???? Earth to Willis. Perhaps that means THERE IS NO GLOBAL WARMING!!! It is religion that ignores contrary data, not science. In science, if the data contradicts your hypothesis, you modify the hypothesis.

This is a must-read story that shows how little we really know about the climate of this planet. Far too little to say that we are warming, cooling, or anything else with any certainty.

HT: Right Mind

As noted this really only means that they are still operating in untested theory mode using models and such that are still in the development stages.  The consensus is a consensus of theory, not fact.

 Trackposted to Outside the Beltway, The Virtuous Republic, Rosemary’s Thoughts, guerrilla radio, Right Truth, Adam’s Blog, Adeline and Hazel, Nuke Gingrich, The World According to Carl, Miss Beth’s Victory Dance, The Pink Flamingo, , Dumb Ox Daily News, CORSARI D’ITALIA, Right Voices, The Yankee Sailor, and Gone Hollywood, thanks to Linkfest Haven Deluxe.

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